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Current Market
Report
Market
Report Archive
Quality at Mt. Satake,
Jan. 2007
Statement on Salmonella and Food Safety
5/24/04
Ewing Appointed
Head of
Sales 3/29/04
FDA
Approves Qualified
Health Claim
7/16/03
Billion
Pound Crop Estimate 7/1/03
Letter
to the trade 1/10/03
New
Processing Facility 9/13/02
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Market
Report – October 9th,
2007
Per
the Almond Board of California position report:
Shipments
reported for September 2007 were a record, 122 million lbs.
- Up 10.5% from the September 2006 figures
& up 6.4% from the previous record
- Domestic shipments were up 4% &
exports were up 13% - both records
SHIPMENTS/DEMAND:
There
were mixed expectations for the September shipment figures, but it
seems that the shipments were again stronger than most anticipated.
Below is an overview of shipments so far this season:
Region
|
Percentage of the Market
|
Percentage Growth
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Western Europe
|
35
|
25
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U.S.
|
31.8
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15
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Asia
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20
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48
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Middle East
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6.6
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110
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Rest of North America
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3.7
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20
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Eastern Europe
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1.75
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30
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THE
2007 CROP:
Kernel
sizing continues to be the lightest since at least 2002. The
most common sizing we are finding for Butte/Padre is around 34,
Carmel/Monterey around 27, Nonpareil around 28. We have seen
Butte/Padre come in with sizes anywhere from 25 to 50, with most lots
in the 30 to 40 range. We notice with all varieties that the kernels
tend to look larger than they are, generally longer but lighter in
weight.
RECEIPTS:
Receipts
as of September 30 were 593 million lbs, up about 46% from last
season. We estimate that we at Hilltop are 65% received as of today,
vs. 53% at this time last season. The vast majority of the crop is
out of the orchards already, waiting to be shelled.
THE
OUTLOOK:
We
think it’s early to make any reasonable estimations of the crop
total. There is much more tonnage than last season, though its
important to keep in mind that the Nonpareil crop is similar volume
to last season and certain sizes of all varieties are in shorter
supply. So far, industry shipments are 28% ahead of this time last
season. How much of this increase is due to an earlier crop,
possible over-buying in certain regions, etc. and how much is due to
an increase in consumption? Time will tell and shipment reports will
continue to be watched closely.
For
more information, contact Paul
Ewing.
Previous Market Reports:
Market
Report Archive
©2007
Hilltop Ranch, Inc.
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